Saturday, April 30, 2011

“I’ll always take the smart guy. The dumb guy will get you beat every time.” -- Buddy Ryan
I'm concerned with the (surprising) pick of Jake Locker at #8 in the First Round of the 2011 draft. Again, the Titans picked a QB with the lowest Wonderlic score of any of the available prospects (20 out of 50); this is troubling to me. Still, Locker's score is three times that of Vince Young's initial bombshell score (a 6, later 'revised' to a still-paltry 15).

If you go by my rule of thumb (that a QB's Wonderlic is a rough indication of how many games he's capable of playing before a mental breakdown) at least Locker will make it through a season; VY's score of 6 is about right for the number of games he could safely play before losing it.

Of all the QB's in this year's draft, Locker's Wonderlic was the lowest: Greg McElroy (43, still on the board); Blaine Gabbert (42, 10th pick 1st round Jacksonville); Christian Ponder (35, 12th pick 1st round Vikings); Ricky Stanzi (30, still on the board), Andy Dalton (29, 35th pick, 2nd Round, Bengals); Ryan Mallett (26, 74th pick, 3rd Round, Patriots); Cam Newton (21,1st pick, 1st round, Panthers), and Jake Locker (20, 8th pick, 1st round, Titans).

Comparative Wonderlic scores for starting QB's around the NFL: Tim Tebow (22), Jay Cutler, Kyle Orton (26), Ben Roethliesberger (25), Tom Brady (33), Eli Manning (39), Drew Breese (28), Kerry Collins (30), John Elway (29), Peyton Manning (28).

As a comparison, non-football occupations and typical Wonderlic scores...

Pharmacist – 31
Salesperson – 24
Secretary – 22
Security Guard – 17
(Democratic) Congressman Heath Schuler – 16
Metro Water Department Sewer-Gauge Flow-Control Monitor person (and Vince Young) - 6

So there you go.

(Yeah, I made that last one up, just to see if your were paying attention. )

So far, we picked Akeem Ayers (LB, UCLA) 2nd Round (39th pick) and Jurrell Casey (DT, USC) 3rd Round (77th pick). That'll fill holes in the defense.

In the next rounds, we desperately need OL help.

More on Jake Locker...
The young quarterback is a tremendous athlete with good size at 6’3″ and 235 pounds. He’s built like a rock and he can run. Locker ran a 4.59 in the forty-yard dash at the NFL Combine and was still somewhat disappointed. He jumped 35 inches in the vertical jump broad jumped 9’7″.

If you check out some of his video highlights you will see him leave the pocket and make plays. When he stays in the pocket, he doesn’t look like an NFL quarterback. He looks uncomfortable, erratic and stressed. In his college highlights, once he gets outside of the pocket, he seemed to see the field better and do a much better job of making decisions.

This is troubling and the reason that he’s somewhat of a project. He may be fast for a quarterback, but he will get run down by NFL linebackers and defensive backs once he leaves the pocket in the Pros. Locker won’t be able to break contain and make guys miss in the NFL like he did in the college. He’ll be forced to stay in the pocket and make plays from there. ...

Former NFL Player Personnel Director Mike Lombardi, who is a analyst for the NFL Network, didnt’ give a glowing report of Locker.

“At the end of the day for me, I think when you watch Jake Locker, he’s a potential starter in the NFL,” Lombardi said. “That’s the most you can say at this point in his career. He’s a potential starter.”

Lombardi said that Locker is a third or fourth round type of prospect.
Here we go.

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