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It'll be a major blow to Democrats, to President Obama, if Scott Brown actually wins "Ted Kennedy's Seat" in today's special Senatorial Election in Massachusetts. Unimaginably damaging, that win; a 'stick a fork in it' to the Obama agenda. That said, I think that even if Martha Coakley wins, there's a happy moment for Conservatives. Look at this comparison of historical poll numbers compared to the latest poll numbers (from RCP)...

Just 4 months ago, 'Marcie' was up by 30 points in the Suffolk University Political Research Center poll, 17 points in the Boston Globe's poll. Now, today, those positives for Martha have deservedly vanished.

Tomorrow we'll compare the resultant election numbers to these (probably as empty as a Ted Kennedy bourbon bottle) pre-vote polling numbers.

What will be the deciding factor in this election? The actual vote, and that's dependent on Turnout, baby, Turnout! All election results depend on who gets to the polling places; who's the most determined, who's putting boots on the ground (and, in the case of Democrats, who is paying the cheats, and if they get caught). Democrats have the advantage, especially in Boston (a liberal hell-hold for decades). Weather doesn't seem to be much of a factor -  Boston is seeing a mild snowstorm, moderate (for Boston) above-freezing temps; there's no reason not to go to the polls, especially for paid-by-the-vote ACORN - community organized - Democrats.

If turnout is heavy for Democrats, Martha Coakley will win by a couple-three points.

Which will be dozens of points less than what Democrats expected, and another 'wake-up fools! You are losing the American people here!' moment for Barack Obama and his far-left Reid-Pelosi CHANGE machine.

My prediction: Coakley in a squeaker. And a few challenges, after poll watchers catch a some stupid Dems trying to beat the system, voting early and often.

(Photo from The Daily Caller)

UPDATE: Obama's already getting defensive. Good! We like it when he's defensive!

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